Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.168607 0.192437 0.218981 0.250838 0.288161 0.330655 0.382917
2025-12-21 0.130488 0.161818 0.200240 0.251257 0.317862 0.402753 0.520563
2025-12-28 0.110426 0.145411 0.191446 0.257384 0.350935 0.481256 0.680748
2026-01-04 0.096091 0.132621 0.183435 0.260793 0.378292 0.554616 0.848205
2026-01-11 0.085595 0.122870 0.177210 0.264365 0.404831 0.629972 1.034459
2026-01-18 0.078218 0.116253 0.174065 0.271261 0.436648 0.718481 1.262688
2026-01-25 0.070970 0.108683 0.168112 0.272232 0.458135 0.792875 1.483387
2026-02-01 0.064707 0.101773 0.162108 0.271844 0.476621 0.864729 1.716943
2026-02-08 0.058983 0.095004 0.155367 0.268928 0.489571 0.928043 1.949067
2026-02-15 0.053987 0.088864 0.148884 0.265382 0.500408 0.988808 2.191836
2026-02-22 0.051092 0.086001 0.147754 0.271591 0.531532 1.098086 2.581205
2026-03-01 0.047141 0.080839 0.141835 0.267555 0.540486 1.160181 2.870697
2026-03-08 0.044214 0.077310 0.138683 0.268909 0.561981 1.257458 3.291921
2026-03-15 0.041401 0.073726 0.135048 0.268804 0.580360 1.351966 3.741502
2026-03-22 0.039594 0.071863 0.134555 0.275330 0.615461 1.497423 4.404060
2026-03-29 0.037660 0.069555 0.132892 0.278998 0.644300 1.633547 5.094456
2026-04-05 0.035916 0.067453 0.131413 0.282856 0.674373 1.781026 5.891646
2026-04-12 0.034632 0.066153 0.131468 0.290311 0.715400 1.971972 6.945874
2026-04-19 0.032919 0.063811 0.129022 0.291361 0.739218 2.116861 7.892274
2026-04-26 0.031238 0.061385 0.126145 0.290942 0.758889 2.254278 8.883035
2026-05-03 0.029497 0.058687 0.122390 0.287789 0.770069 2.366777 9.826149
2026-05-10 0.027852 0.056065 0.118563 0.283955 0.778591 2.472986 10.804892
2026-05-17 0.027026 0.055176 0.118674 0.290668 0.821317 2.717561 12.663194